Elon Musk Predicts AI to Surpass Human Intelligence by Next Year

Elon Musk predicts AI could surpass human intelligence by next year, citing Grok's progress. He criticized OpenAI's mission shift and praised Chinese carmakers for their innovation.

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Elon Musk predicts that artificial intelligence (AI) will surpass human intelligence by next year. He emphasizes the importance of addressing the chip shortage and ensuring a stable electricity supply for AI’s development. Musk also highlights the fierce competition from Chinese car manufacturers in the automotive sector and suggests that without trade barriers, they could outpace global counterparts. Despite ongoing labor disputes, Musk expresses optimism, indicating improvements in Tesla’s challenges in Sweden.

In a recent interview full of technical glitches on X Spaces, Tesla’s CEO Elon Musk made some daring predictions about the swift progress of artificial intelligence (AI). Musk confidently stated that Artificial General Intelligence (AGI), where AI surpasses human intellect, could become a reality as early as next year or by 2026.

During his discussion with Nicolai Tangen, CEO of Norway’s wealth fund, Elon Musk emphasized the pivotal role of electricity in unleashing the potential of AI. He also shared exciting plans for the next version of Grok, the AI chatbot developed by his startup xAI, which is on track to complete its training by May.

The tech titan, known for co-founding OpenAI, expressed frustration over the scarcity of advanced chips, which is impeding the progress of Grok’s capabilities. Musk disclosed that training the Grok 2 model required a whopping 20,000 Nvidia H100 GPUs, with future versions expected to demand even more resources.

xAI, Musk’s venture, emerged last year as a competitor to OpenAI, a company he was once closely associated with. Musk accused OpenAI of veering away from its original altruistic goals in favor of profit-driven motives, a claim that OpenAI denies.

Musk highlighted the chip shortage as a major hurdle, but he underscored the critical role of electricity supply in AI’s future growth.

Turning to the automotive industry, Musk reiterated the strong competition from Chinese carmakers, calling them “the most competitive in the world.” He warned that without trade barriers, Chinese rivals could outperform global competitors.

Regarding labor issues, Musk expressed optimism, indicating that Tesla’s challenges in Sweden were improving. Tangen, representing Norway’s $1.5 trillion sovereign wealth fund and a major Tesla shareholder, confirmed recent talks with Tesla’s leadership about the company’s operations.

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